Paris FC vs Le Havre: match prediction
Paris FCVS
Le HavreThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win76%Paris FC
Draw15%
Away win9%Le Havre
Expected points, home2.44
What to expect
Paris FC are favourites: 76% to win against 9%. Attack against defence: Paris FC should create more, 1.88 expected goals a match against 1.15. Le Havre are 8.0 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
Recent matches
Auxerre — Paris FC 0:1Paris FC — 
Monaco 3:1
Lens — Paris FC 2:1Paris FC — 
Rennes 4:3
Lorient — Paris FC 1:0Le Havre — Lorient 0:2Le Havre — 
Paris Saint Germain 1:5
Marseille — Le Havre 4:3Le Havre — Auxerre 1:3
Lille — Le Havre 1:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions