The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Rennes are favourites: 57% to win against 24%. Attack against defence: Rennes should create more, 1.91 expected goals a match against 1.70. Read the table with care: Lille have taken 4.4 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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