Baltika Kaliningrad vs Rodina Moscow: match prediction
Baltika KaliningradVS
Rodina MoscowThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win75%Baltika Kaliningrad
Draw17%
Away win8%Rodina Moscow
Expected points, home2.42
What to expect
Baltika Kaliningrad are favourites: 75% to win against 8%. Attack against defence: Baltika Kaliningrad should create more, 1.59 expected goals a match against 0.89. Baltika Kaliningrad are 6.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 14 | 17 | 23.1 | −6.1 | 1.31 | 0.84 |
| Rodina Moscow | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12.3 | −0.3 | 0.94 | 1.88 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Rodina 0:3 Baltika (2026-08-30).
Recent matches
Baltika — 
Dynamo Makhachkala 0:1Baltika — 
Akron 2:1
FC Krasnodar — Baltika 1:1Baltika — 
FC Rostov 0:0
FK Akhmat — Baltika 0:0FK Akhmat — Rodina 1:0Rodina — FC Krasnodar 2:1
Fakel — Rodina 0:1Rodina — 
FC Orenburg 2:2
CSKA Moscow — Rodina 3:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions