The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to CSKA Moscow: 43% against 32%. Attack against defence: level, 1.36 and 1.34 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Zenit have taken 5.1 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 4 | 11 | 22 | 19.5 | +2.5 | 1.73 | 1.23 |
| Zenit | 2 | 11 | 24 | 18.9 | +5.1 | 1.46 | 0.99 |
They have already met this season: Zenit 1:2 CSKA Moscow (2026-09-05).
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.