Dynamo Makhachkala vs Orenburg: match prediction
Dynamo MakhachkalaVS
OrenburgThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win36%Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw26%
Away win38%Orenburg
Expected points, home1.33
What to expect
No clear favourite: 36% home, 26% draw, 38% away. Attack against defence: Orenburg should create more, 1.38 expected goals a match against 1.20. Orenburg are 3.3 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 14 | 16 | 18.6 | −2.6 | 1.26 | 1.42 |
| Orenburg | 10 | 14 | 17 | 20.3 | −3.3 | 1.33 | 1.14 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: FC Orenburg 4:0 Dynamo Makhachkala (2026-10-10).
Recent matches
Baltika — Dynamo Makhachkala 0:1Dynamo Makhachkala — 
FC Rostov 0:3
Zenit St. Petersburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0Dynamo Makhachkala — 
Akron 1:1FC Orenburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0
Krylya Sovetov Samara — FC Orenburg 2:0FC Orenburg — 
CSKA Moscow 0:0
FK Akhmat — FC Orenburg 0:1
Rodina — FC Orenburg 2:2FC Orenburg — Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions