Fakel Voronezh vs Spartak Moscow: match prediction
Fakel VoronezhVS
Spartak MoscowThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win12%Fakel Voronezh
Draw21%
Away win68%Spartak Moscow
Expected points, home0.56
What to expect
Spartak Moscow are favourites: 68% to win against 12%. Attack against defence: Spartak Moscow should create more, 1.66 expected goals a match against 0.85. Fakel Voronezh are 6.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fakel Voronezh | 16 | 14 | 6 | 12.5 | −6.5 | 0.81 | 1.45 |
| Spartak Moscow | 3 | 14 | 29 | 27.5 | +1.5 | 1.86 | 0.89 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Spartak Moscow 1:0 Fakel (2026-09-16).
Recent matches
Fakel — 
Dinamo Moscow 1:2
Rubin Kazan — Fakel 1:0Fakel — 
Rodina 0:1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Fakel 1:2Fakel — 
Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5Spartak Moscow — 
Akron 2:1Lokomotiv Moscow — Spartak Moscow 0:4
CSKA Moscow — Spartak Moscow 2:0Spartak Moscow — Rubin Kazan 4:0Krylya Sovetov Samara — Spartak Moscow 1:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions