Rostov vs Baltika Kaliningrad: match prediction
RostovVS
Baltika KaliningradThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win24%Rostov
Draw33%
Away win43%Baltika Kaliningrad
Expected points, home1.04
What to expect
A slight edge to Baltika Kaliningrad: 43% against 24%. Attack against defence: Baltika Kaliningrad should create more, 1.21 expected goals a match against 0.87. Baltika Kaliningrad are 6.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 6 | 14 | 19 | 16.8 | +2.2 | 0.90 | 1.11 |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 14 | 17 | 23.1 | −6.1 | 1.31 | 0.84 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Baltika 0:0 FC Rostov (2026-10-18).
Recent matches
Zenit St. Petersburg — FC Rostov 2:2
Dynamo Makhachkala — FC Rostov 0:3FC Rostov — 
Lokomotiv Moscow 2:0Baltika — FC Rostov 0:0FC Rostov — 
Akron 1:0Baltika — Dynamo Makhachkala 0:1Baltika — Akron 2:1
FC Krasnodar — Baltika 1:1Baltika — FC Rostov 0:0
FK Akhmat — Baltika 0:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions