The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Zenit: 45% against 26%. Attack against defence: level, 1.24 and 1.13 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Zenit have taken 5.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 1 | 12 | 27 | 21.7 | +5.3 | 1.61 | 0.98 |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 12 | 14 | 19.2 | −5.2 | 1.28 | 0.87 |
They have already met this season: Baltika Kaliningrad 2:3 Zenit (2026-09-16).
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions