Cagliari vs AC Milan: match prediction

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

AC Milan are favourites: 57% to win against 22%. Attack against defence: AC Milan should create more, 1.95 expected goals a match against 1.32. Read the table with care: AC Milan have taken 5.8 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

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