Cagliari vs Venezia: match prediction
CagliariVS
VeneziaThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win42%Cagliari
Draw22%
Away win36%Venezia
Expected points, home1.48
What to expect
No clear favourite: 42% home, 22% draw, 36% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.70 and 1.79 expected goals a match. Venezia are 5.9 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
Recent matches
Cagliari — 
Frosinone 1:0
Lazio — Cagliari 2:1
Roma — Cagliari 4:2Cagliari — 
Bologna 0:2
Monza — Cagliari 4:0
Udinese 2:1
Como — 
Inter 0:2
Genoa — 
Napoli 1:0Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions