Fiorentina vs Bologna: match prediction
FiorentinaVS
BolognaThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win33%Fiorentina
Draw22%
Away win45%Bologna
Expected points, home1.22
What to expect
A slight edge to Bologna: 45% against 33%. Attack against defence: Bologna should create more, 1.89 expected goals a match against 1.55. Fiorentina are 5.4 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 15 | 11 | 9 | 14.4 | −5.4 | 1.64 | 1.87 |
| Bologna | 8 | 11 | 17 | 19.1 | −2.1 | 1.91 | 1.47 |
Recent matches
Fiorentina — 
Juventus 2:2
Sassuolo — Fiorentina 2:4Fiorentina — 
Atalanta 2:2
Inter — Fiorentina 2:1Fiorentina — 
Como 1:3
Parma Calcio 1913 — Bologna 1:2Bologna — 
Monza 2:1
AC Milan — Bologna 2:4
Cagliari — Bologna 0:2Bologna — Inter 1:3Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions