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Lecce vs Atalanta: match prediction

Lecce
VS
Atalanta
Serie A · Round 13 · 30 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win36%Lecce
Draw21%
Away win43%Atalanta
Expected points, home1.29

What to expect

No clear favourite: 36% home, 21% draw, 43% away. Attack against defence: Atalanta should create more, 1.98 expected goals a match against 1.68.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Lecce1411108.9+1.11.442.30
Atalanta12111412.8+1.21.671.92

Recent matches

Torino — Lecce 1:1Lecce — Genoa 1:2Frosinone — Lecce 5:1Lecce — Juventus 0:2Udinese — Lecce 0:3
Monza — Atalanta 0:1Atalanta — Parma Calcio 1913 0:3Fiorentina — Atalanta 2:2Atalanta — Frosinone 4:4AC Milan — Atalanta 3:2

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions