Pitch Radar

Parma vs Torino: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 7 · 17 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win29%Parma
Draw31%
Away win39%Torino
Expected points, home1.20

What to expect

A slight edge to Torino: 39% against 29%. Attack against defence: Torino should create more, 1.48 expected goals a match against 1.20.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Parma15543.4+0.60.851.96
Torino14545.0−1.01.011.54

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →