Pitch Radar

Venezia vs Bologna: match prediction

Venezia
VS
Bologna
Serie A · Round 13 · 27 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win27%Venezia
Draw21%
Away win52%Bologna
Expected points, home1.03

What to expect

A slight edge to Bologna: 52% against 27%. Attack against defence: Bologna should create more, 2.02 expected goals a match against 1.52. Venezia are 5.9 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Venezia1911611.9−5.91.572.13
Bologna8111719.1−2.11.911.47

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions