Pitch Radar

Venezia vs Monza: match prediction

Venezia
VS
Monza
Serie A · Round 16 · 20 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win42%Venezia
Draw22%
Away win37%Monza
Expected points, home1.47

What to expect

No clear favourite: 42% home, 22% draw, 37% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.71 and 1.86 expected goals a match. Monza are 6.2 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Venezia1911611.9−5.91.572.13
Monza1811713.2−6.21.591.85

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions