The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Elversberg | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 7 | 6 |
| xPTS | 3.9 | 5.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.1 | +0.7 |
| xG per match | 1.31 | 2.14 |
| xGA per match | 2.21 | 2.82 |
| Scored | 8 | 8 |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 |
By quality of play VfB Stuttgart is ahead: 5.3 xPTS against 3.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Elversberg: +3.1, VfB Stuttgart: +0.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Elversberg — 3.1, VfB Stuttgart — 6.9.