The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bayer Leverkusen | Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 6 |
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPTS | 11.1 | 5.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.1 | +4.6 |
| xG per match | 2.55 | 1.76 |
| xGA per match | 1.12 | 2.47 |
| Scored | 14 | 12 |
| Conceded | 8 | 11 |
By quality of play Bayer Leverkusen is ahead: 11.1 xPTS against 5.4. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Bayer Leverkusen: −1.1, Elversberg: +4.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bayer Leverkusen — 10.8, Elversberg — 3.0.