The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Bayern Munich | Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 6 |
| Points | 14 | 10 |
| xPTS | 16.6 | 5.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.6 | +4.6 |
| xG per match | 3.8 | 1.76 |
| xGA per match | 0.94 | 2.47 |
| Scored | 22 | 12 |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 |
By quality of play Bayern Munich is ahead: 16.6 xPTS against 5.4. In the table the gap is 4 points. The gap between points and play — Bayern Munich: −2.6, Elversberg: +4.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Bayern Munich — 11.5, Elversberg — 3.0.