The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Borussia Dortmund | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 5 |
| Points | 13 | 9 |
| xPTS | 10.7 | 10.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.4 | −1.5 |
| xG per match | 2.24 | 2.7 |
| xGA per match | 1.02 | 1.42 |
| Scored | 11 | 15 |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
By quality of play they are level: 10.7 xPTS against 10.5. The gap between points and play — Borussia Dortmund: +2.4, RB Leipzig: −1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Borussia Dortmund — 10.9, RB Leipzig — 10.6.