The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Borussia Dortmund | Werder Bremen | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 4 |
| Points | 13 | 8 |
| xPTS | 10.7 | 4.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.4 | +3.1 |
| xG per match | 2.24 | 1.23 |
| xGA per match | 1.02 | 1.79 |
| Scored | 11 | 10 |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 |
By quality of play Borussia Dortmund is ahead: 10.7 xPTS against 4.9. In the table the gap is 5 points. The gap between points and play — Borussia Dortmund: +2.4, Werder Bremen: +3.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Borussia Dortmund — 10.8, Werder Bremen — 6.6.