The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Werder Bremen | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 4 | 5 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.1 | +2.4 |
| xG per match | 1.23 | 2.14 |
| xGA per match | 1.79 | 2.13 |
| Scored | 10 | 11 |
| Conceded | 10 | 6 |
By quality of play they are level: 4.9 xPTS against 4.7. The gap between points and play — Werder Bremen: +3.1, Augsburg: +2.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Werder Bremen — 6.6, Augsburg — 6.1.