The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Elversberg | Augsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 5.5 | 8.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.5 | +0.6 |
| xG per match | 1.61 | 2.33 |
| xGA per match | 2.55 | 2.56 |
| Scored | 12 | 17 |
| Conceded | 15 | 13 |
By quality of play Augsburg is ahead: 8.4 xPTS against 5.5. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Elversberg: +4.5, Augsburg: +0.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Elversberg — 4.0, Augsburg — 5.2.