The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Freiburg | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 3 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 11.2 | 13.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.8 | −2.7 |
| xG per match | 2.05 | 3.58 |
| xGA per match | 0.88 | 0.99 |
| Scored | 14 | 16 |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
By quality of play Bayern Munich is ahead: 13.7 xPTS against 11.2. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Freiburg: +1.8, Bayern Munich: −2.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Freiburg — 9.6, Bayern Munich — 10.8.