The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Hoffenheim | Borussia Mönchengladbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 17 | 18 |
| Points | 3 | 0 |
| xPTS | 6.6 | 2.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.6 | −2.8 |
| xG per match | 1.93 | 1.87 |
| xGA per match | 1.97 | 3.1 |
| Scored | 9 | 6 |
| Conceded | 13 | 16 |
By quality of play Hoffenheim is ahead: 6.6 xPTS against 2.8. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Hoffenheim: −3.6, Borussia Mönchengladbach: −2.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Hoffenheim — 7.5, Borussia Mönchengladbach — 5.5.