The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Union Berlin | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 16 | 17 |
| Points | 4 | 3 |
| xPTS | 4.4 | 6.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.4 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 1.23 | 1.93 |
| xGA per match | 2.63 | 1.97 |
| Scored | 5 | 9 |
| Conceded | 17 | 13 |
By quality of play Hoffenheim is ahead: 6.6 xPTS against 4.4. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Union Berlin: −0.4, Hoffenheim: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Union Berlin — 2.3, Hoffenheim — 7.5.