The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Arsenal | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 6 |
| Points | 12 | 9 |
| xPTS | 9.8 | 7.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.2 | +1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.88 | 1.65 |
| xGA per match | 1.09 | 1.39 |
| Scored | 8 | 7 |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
By quality of play Arsenal is ahead: 9.8 xPTS against 7.9. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Arsenal: +2.2, Liverpool: +1.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Arsenal — 8.7, Liverpool — 6.6.