The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Brighton | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 5 |
| Points | 13 | 10 |
| xPTS | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.8 | +0.1 |
| xG per match | 2.42 | 1.86 |
| xGA per match | 1.58 | 1.46 |
| Scored | 18 | 8 |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
By quality of play Brighton is ahead: 11.2 xPTS against 9.9. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Brighton: +1.8, Everton: +0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Brighton — 8.9, Everton — 8.2.