The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Brighton | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 6 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 9.2 | 7.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.8 | +1.1 |
| xG per match | 2.58 | 1.65 |
| xGA per match | 1.73 | 1.39 |
| Scored | 16 | 7 |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 |
By quality of play Brighton is ahead: 9.2 xPTS against 7.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Brighton: +0.8, Liverpool: +1.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Brighton — 8.1, Liverpool — 6.6.