The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Everton | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 9 | 9 |
| xPTS | 7.6 | 6.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.4 | +2.3 |
| xG per match | 1.67 | 1.4 |
| xGA per match | 1.44 | 2.02 |
| Scored | 6 | 9 |
| Conceded | 3 | 12 |
By quality of play they are level: 7.6 xPTS against 6.7. The gap between points and play — Everton: +1.4, Ipswich Town: +2.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Everton — 8.2, Ipswich Town — 4.4.