The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Crystal Palace | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 7 | 6 |
| xPTS | 6 | 8.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.0 | −2.9 |
| xG per match | 1.64 | 1.91 |
| xGA per match | 2.3 | 1.54 |
| Scored | 9 | 9 |
| Conceded | 12 | 9 |
By quality of play Manchester United is ahead: 8.9 xPTS against 6.0. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Crystal Palace: +1.0, Manchester United: −2.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Crystal Palace — 5.8, Manchester United — 8.3.