The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Manchester City | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 5 |
| Points | 18 | 10 |
| xPTS | 11.7 | 9.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +6.3 | +0.1 |
| xG per match | 2.1 | 1.86 |
| xGA per match | 1.32 | 1.46 |
| Scored | 16 | 8 |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
By quality of play Manchester City is ahead: 11.7 xPTS against 9.9. In the table the gap is 8 points. The gap between points and play — Manchester City: +6.3, Everton: +0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Manchester City — 9.7, Everton — 8.2.