The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Sunderland | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 4 | 4 |
| xPTS | 7.7 | 5.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.7 | −1.4 |
| xG per match | 2.01 | 1.52 |
| xGA per match | 1.77 | 2 |
| Scored | 6 | 6 |
| Conceded | 10 | 11 |
By quality of play Sunderland is ahead: 7.7 xPTS against 5.4. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Sunderland: −3.7, Crystal Palace: −1.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Sunderland — 7.9, Crystal Palace — 5.7.