The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Espanyol | Valencia | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 18 | 19 |
| Points | 8 | 6 |
| xPTS | 12.2 | 11.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.2 | −5.2 |
| xG per match | 1.19 | 1.09 |
| xGA per match | 1.55 | 1.61 |
| Scored | 12 | 7 |
| Conceded | 14 | 17 |
By quality of play Espanyol is ahead: 12.2 xPTS against 11.2. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Espanyol: −4.2, Valencia: −5.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Espanyol — 5.3, Valencia — 5.6.