The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Le Mans | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 6 | 6 |
| xPTS | 5.6 | 10.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.4 | −4.5 |
| xG per match | 1.67 | 2 |
| xGA per match | 2.45 | 1.59 |
| Scored | 10 | 9 |
| Conceded | 12 | 11 |
By quality of play Toulouse is ahead: 10.5 xPTS against 5.6. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Le Mans: +0.4, Toulouse: −4.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Le Mans — 5.8, Toulouse — 9.3.