The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lens | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 12.2 | 9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.2 | +0.0 |
| xG per match | 2.25 | 1.84 |
| xGA per match | 1.54 | 2.18 |
| Scored | 14 | 14 |
| Conceded | 11 | 10 |
By quality of play Lens is ahead: 12.2 xPTS against 9.0. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Lens: −2.2, Marseille: +0.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lens — 8.7, Marseille — 7.0.