The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Rennes | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.8 | +1.1 |
| xG per match | 2.35 | 1.15 |
| xGA per match | 2.13 | 1.08 |
| Scored | 15 | 7 |
| Conceded | 14 | 6 |
By quality of play Rennes is ahead: 11.2 xPTS against 9.9. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Rennes: +1.8, Lorient: +1.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Rennes — 7.8, Lorient — 6.5.