The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lille | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 3 |
| Points | 14 | 14 |
| xPTS | 10.2 | 8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.8 | +6.0 |
| xG per match | 1.54 | 1.23 |
| xGA per match | 1.5 | 1.33 |
| Scored | 10 | 10 |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 |
By quality of play Lille is ahead: 10.2 xPTS against 8.0. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Lille: +3.8, Monaco: +6.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lille — 6.4, Monaco — 6.7.