The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Marseille | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 9 | 10 |
| Points | 9 | 9 |
| xPTS | 9 | 13 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.0 | −4.0 |
| xG per match | 1.84 | 2.24 |
| xGA per match | 2.18 | 1.29 |
| Scored | 14 | 13 |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 |
By quality of play Brest is ahead: 13.0 xPTS against 9.0. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Marseille: +0.0, Brest: −4.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Marseille — 7.0, Brest — 9.4.