The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lille | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 4 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 7.9 | 12.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +5.1 | −1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.46 | 1.72 |
| xGA per match | 1.62 | 0.63 |
| Scored | 9 | 8 |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
By quality of play Paris FC is ahead: 12.8 xPTS against 7.9. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Lille: +5.1, Paris FC: −1.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lille — 5.1, Paris FC — 11.1.