The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Toulouse | Auxerre | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 6 | 6 |
| xPTS | 10.5 | 5.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −4.5 | +0.3 |
| xG per match | 2 | 1.37 |
| xGA per match | 1.59 | 2.14 |
| Scored | 9 | 7 |
| Conceded | 11 | 12 |
By quality of play Toulouse is ahead: 10.5 xPTS against 5.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Toulouse: −4.5, Auxerre: +0.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Toulouse — 9.3, Auxerre — 5.0.