The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Akron Tolyatti | Fakel Voronezh | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 9 | 6 |
| xPTS | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.9 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 0.9 | 0.85 |
| xGA per match | 1.26 | 1.57 |
| Scored | 12 | 8 |
| Conceded | 20 | 19 |
By quality of play Akron Tolyatti is ahead: 11.8 xPTS against 9.6. In the table the gap is 3 points. The gap between points and play — Akron Tolyatti: −2.9, Fakel Voronezh: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Akron Tolyatti — 5.0, Fakel Voronezh — 5.2.