The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Zenit | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 3 |
| Points | 21 | 20 |
| xPTS | 16.9 | 18.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.1 | +1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.59 |
| xGA per match | 1 | 0.85 |
| Scored | 22 | 17 |
| Conceded | 11 | 8 |
By quality of play Spartak Moscow is ahead: 18.5 xPTS against 16.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Zenit: +4.1, Spartak Moscow: +1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Zenit — 9.0, Spartak Moscow — 9.7.