The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| CSKA Moscow | Dynamo Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 19 | 12 |
| xPTS | 15.9 | 14.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.1 | −2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.65 | 1.38 |
| xGA per match | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Scored | 15 | 15 |
| Conceded | 9 | 20 |
By quality of play CSKA Moscow is ahead: 15.9 xPTS against 14.2. In the table the gap is 7 points. The gap between points and play — CSKA Moscow: +3.1, Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: CSKA Moscow — 7.5, Dynamo Makhachkala — 6.3.