The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Dynamo Moscow | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 4 |
| Points | 22 | 21 |
| xPTS | 16.7 | 14.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +5.3 | +6.5 |
| xG per match | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| xGA per match | 0.9 | 1.08 |
| Scored | 15 | 16 |
| Conceded | 8 | 10 |
By quality of play Dynamo Moscow is ahead: 16.7 xPTS against 14.5. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Dynamo Moscow: +5.3, Krasnodar: +6.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Dynamo Moscow — 8.8, Krasnodar — 7.3.