The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Dynamo Moscow | Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 6 |
| Points | 25 | 16 |
| xPTS | 20.3 | 17.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.7 | −1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.39 |
| xGA per match | 0.99 | 1.13 |
| Scored | 19 | 14 |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 |
By quality of play Dynamo Moscow is ahead: 20.3 xPTS against 17.9. In the table the gap is 9 points. The gap between points and play — Dynamo Moscow: +4.7, Orenburg: −1.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Dynamo Moscow — 7.8, Orenburg — 8.1.