The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Dynamo Moscow | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 5 |
| Points | 22 | 20 |
| xPTS | 16.7 | 18.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +5.3 | +1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| xGA per match | 0.9 | 0.85 |
| Scored | 15 | 17 |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 |
By quality of play Spartak Moscow is ahead: 18.5 xPTS against 16.7. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Dynamo Moscow: +5.3, Spartak Moscow: +1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Dynamo Moscow — 8.8, Spartak Moscow — 9.6.