The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Fakel Voronezh | Rodina Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 15 | 16 |
| Points | 6 | 5 |
| xPTS | 9.6 | 5.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.6 | −0.5 |
| xG per match | 0.85 | 0.77 |
| xGA per match | 1.57 | 2.21 |
| Scored | 8 | 10 |
| Conceded | 19 | 25 |
By quality of play Fakel Voronezh is ahead: 9.6 xPTS against 5.5. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Fakel Voronezh: −3.6, Rodina Moscow: −0.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Fakel Voronezh — 5.2, Rodina Moscow — 3.2.