The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Akhmat Grozny | Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 11 | 11 |
| xPTS | 13 | 10.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −2.0 | +0.4 |
| xG per match | 1.02 | 0.82 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 1.22 |
| Scored | 13 | 11 |
| Conceded | 13 | 17 |
By quality of play Akhmat Grozny is ahead: 13.0 xPTS against 10.6. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Akhmat Grozny: −2.0, Rostov: +0.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Akhmat Grozny — 6.0, Rostov — 4.6.