The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Akhmat Grozny | Rodina Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 11 | 9 |
| xPTS | 16.1 | 9.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −5.1 | −0.2 |
| xG per match | 1.08 | 0.94 |
| xGA per match | 1.09 | 2.07 |
| Scored | 15 | 13 |
| Conceded | 17 | 27 |
By quality of play Akhmat Grozny is ahead: 16.1 xPTS against 9.2. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Akhmat Grozny: −5.1, Rodina Moscow: −0.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Akhmat Grozny — 6.7, Rodina Moscow — 3.5.