The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| AC Milan | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| xPTS | 8.9 | 11.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.1 | −1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.94 | 2.07 |
| xGA per match | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| Scored | 10 | 10 |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
By quality of play Napoli is ahead: 11.7 xPTS against 8.9. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — AC Milan: +2.1, Napoli: −1.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: AC Milan — 9.3, Napoli — 7.0.